NYC's Double Bind: Soaring Hotel Costs & The Unattainable Apartment

NYC's Double Bind: Soaring Hotel Costs & The Unattainable Apartment

By Cody Hall
NYCHousing CrisisHotel PricesUrban PolicyAffordabilityLocal Law 18Rent ControlUrban Development

The Big Apple’s Squeeze: Navigating Sky-High Hotel Rates and the Elusive Affordable Home

New York City, famed for its dynamism, now grapples with a crippling dual crisis impacting everyone from tourists to long-time residents. On one hand, hotel prices have climbed to unprecedented heights. On the other, the dream of finding a reasonably priced apartment is becoming increasingly distant for many New Yorkers.

Hotels: Why Your Next NYC Trip Might Break the Bank

If you’ve looked at NYC hotel prices recently, you’ve likely experienced some sticker shock. The average daily rate (ADR) has hit a record $320 (12-month average), with June 2024 seeing rates around $317.91. This isn’t just a case of tourism bouncing back; several key factors are at play:

  • The Short-Term Rental Shake-Up (Local Law 18): This pivotal law, implemented in Fall 2023, drastically cut the number of available short-term rentals (like Airbnb) by over 90%. With fewer alternative accommodations, more demand shifted to traditional hotels, allowing them to increase prices.

Short-Term Rental Supply Drop

Impact of Local Law 18 on Airbnb and short-term rental availability

Airbnb Data, NYC Open Data, Short-Term Rental Registration System

  • Migrant Shelter Demands: A significant number of hotel rooms (around 14,000 as of April 2025, or 11.5% of total inventory) are being used to house asylum seekers. These rooms are off the commercial market for the medium to long term, further tightening supply.

Hotel Rooms Used for Migrant Housing

Impact on commercial hotel inventory availability

NYC Department of Social Services, Hotel Association of New York City

  • Operational Costs are Soaring: Hotels are paying more for everything. Labor costs jumped 4.8% in 2024, insurance premiums are up a staggering 17.4%, and property taxes rose 4.3%. These increased expenses are inevitably passed on to guests.

Hotel Operational Cost Increases (2024 vs 2023)

Year-over-year percentage increases in major expense categories

NYC Hotel Association, Bureau of Labor Statistics

  • New Hotel Development Hits a Wall: A 2021 citywide special permit has made building new hotels incredibly difficult. Only two new hotels have been approved in three years. This limits the market’s ability to respond to demand with new supply, keeping prices for existing rooms high.

The Housing Crisis: An Apartment Becomes a Luxury

For New Yorkers, the struggle to find affordable housing is a daily reality. The city is simply not building enough homes to keep up with demand.

Unrelenting Demand:

  • Job Growth: Between 2011 and 2023, NYC added roughly 895,000 jobs but only about 353,000 new housing units. More jobs mean more people needing homes.

Jobs vs Housing Units Added (2011-2023)

The growing gap between job creation and housing supply

NYC Department of City Planning, Bureau of Labor Statistics

  • Population Dynamics: While there’s some domestic out-migration, international immigration and the city’s inherent draw keep overall housing demand robust.

The Supply Stalemate – Why Aren’t We Building More?

Sky-High Building Costs:

  • Land: It’s astronomically expensive. Think millions per acre in boroughs like Queens, and even higher in Manhattan.

  • Materials & Labor: Construction costs nationally have risen 30-50% since 2020. NYC is no exception, with increased prices for steel, concrete, and skilled labor.

Housing Development Cost Increases

Rising construction and development costs impacting housing supply

NYC Department of Buildings, Construction Industry Council

The Regulatory Maze:

  • Zoning: Restrictive zoning has historically limited housing capacity in many areas.

  • Permits & Approvals: The process can be lengthy and complex.

  • Tax Policies: The expiration of the 421-a tax abatement program in 2022, which had incentivized much new construction, left a void. Its successor, 485-x, has stricter requirements (like higher wages and deeper affordability), and developers are still assessing its viability for large projects.

The Renter’s Reality:

  • Record Rents: Median Manhattan rents are consistently over $4,000 a month.

NYC Rent Trends by Borough

Median rent prices showing the affordability crisis

NYC Housing Preservation and Development, StreetEasy Market Reports

  • Critically Low Vacancy: The city’s net rental vacancy rate is a mere 1.4%. This intense competition gives landlords significant pricing power.

NYC Housing Vacancy Rates

Critically low vacancy rates driving rent increases

NYC Housing and Vacancy Survey, Census Bureau

A Tangled Web: Connecting Hotel Costs and Housing Shortages

These hotel and housing issues aren’t happening in separate vacuums. Local Law 18 is a prime example – aimed at housing, it primarily impacted hotel prices. Both sectors also compete for limited resources like land and construction capacity.

The Path Forward for a More Affordable NYC

Finding a way forward requires a comprehensive approach that acknowledges these deep connections. It means aggressively pursuing more housing development, reforming property taxes, finding a balanced approach to short-term rentals, and strengthening safety nets for tenants.

Sources

  1. NYC Hotel Price Analysis
  2. The Aftermath of NYC’s Short-Term Rental Crackdown: One Year Later - AirDNA, accessed May 27, 2025, https://www.airdna.co/blog/nycs-short-term-rental-crackdown
  3. NYC Files First Lawsuit Using Local Law 18 to Reclaim Housing Inventory from Illegal Short-Term Rental Operator - Mayor’s Office of Criminal Justice, accessed May 27, 2025, https://criminaljustice.cityofnewyork.us/press-release/nyc-files-first-lawsuit-using-local-law-18-to-reclaim-housing-inventory-from-illegal-short-term-rental-operator/
  4. NYC sees record rents, hotel rates as short-term rental law continues, accessed May 27, 2025, https://news.airbnb.com/nyc-sees-record-rents-hotel-rates-as-short-term-rental-law-continues/
  5. New report finds NYC’s short-term rental law takes toll on outer boroughs, accessed May 27, 2025, https://news.airbnb.com/new-report-finds-nycs-short-term-rental-law-takes-toll-on-outer-boroughs/
  6. Opinion: It’s Time For a Late Checkout on NYC’s Airbnb Ban - City Limits, accessed May 27, 2025, https://citylimits.org/opinion-its-time-for-a-late-checkout-on-nycs-airbnb-ban/
  7. One Year Later: The Impact of New York City’s Local Law 18 - Lodgify, accessed May 27, 2025, https://www.lodgify.com/blog/local-law-18-one-year-report/
  8. www.nyc.gov, accessed May 27, 2025, https://www.nyc.gov/content/planning/pages/our-work/plans/citywide/citywide-hotels-text-amendment#:~:text=The%20Citywide%20Hotel%20Special%20Permit,and%20paired%20M1%2FR%20districts.
  9. Citywide Hotels Text Amendment - Department of City Planning - DCP - NYC.gov, accessed May 27, 2025, https://www.nyc.gov/content/planning/pages/our-work/plans/citywide/citywide-hotels-text-amendment
  10. a856-cityrecord.nyc.gov, accessed May 27, 2025, https://a856-cityrecord.nyc.gov/Search/GetFile?sectionId=5&requestId=20211013028&requestStatus=Archived&documentId=5646#:~:text=Therefore%2C%20under%20the%20With%2DAction,slowing%20or%20hindering%20their%20development.
  11. How Public Policy and Economic Factors are Shaping NYC’s Booming Hotel Market, accessed May 27, 2025, https://www.hotelnewsresource.com/article135029.html
  12. New York City Metro Area Population 1950-2025 - Macrotrends, accessed May 27, 2025, https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/cities/23083/new-york-city/population
  13. NYC Real Estate Market Update: Developments, Trends … - Brevitas, accessed May 27, 2025, https://brevitas.com/articles/2025/3/nyc-real-estate-market-update-developments-trends-opportunities
  14. Demographic history of New York City - Wikipedia, accessed May 27, 2025, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographic_history_of_New_York_City
  15. NYCEDC Releases Inaugural “State of the Economy” Report, Providing In-Depth Data and Analysis on New York City’s Strong Recovery, accessed May 27, 2025, https://edc.nyc/press-release/nycedc-releases-inaugural-state-economy-report
  16. New York City Jobs - March2025 - NY.gov, accessed May 27, 2025, https://dol.ny.gov/system/files/documents/2025/05/new-york-city.pdf
  17. The Consequences of Illegal Immigration for Housing Affordability, Government Budgets, and American Workers, accessed May 27, 2025, https://oversight.house.gov/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/Camarota-Testimony.pdf
  18. New York Land Market Insights and Values for 2025, accessed May 27, 2025, https://www.primelandbuyers.com/blog/new-york-land-market-insights-and-values
  19. The effect of switching to the Single Tax on Land in New York City - Common Ground U.S.A., accessed May 27, 2025, https://commonground-usa.net/the-effect-of-switching-to-the-single-tax-on-land-in-new-york-city/
  20. How Tariffs and Labor Shortages Will Thwart Housing Production, accessed May 27, 2025, https://www.multihousingnews.com/how-tariffs-and-labor-shortages-will-thwart-housing-production/
  21. new york city - construction trends - Baruch College - Zicklin School of Business, accessed May 27, 2025, https://zicklin.baruch.cuny.edu/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2023/09/NYC-Construction-Trends-Report-Sep2023-compressed.pdf
  22. Residential Building Worker Wage Growth Slows Amid Softer Labor Market, accessed May 27, 2025, https://eyeonhousing.org/2025/05/residential-building-worker-wage-growth-slows-amid-softer-labor-market/
  23. The Housing Crisis and New York City | NYCEDC, accessed May 27, 2025, https://edc.nyc/housing-crisis-and-new-york-city
  24. Housing Production in New York City, accessed May 27, 2025, https://www.osc.ny.gov/files/reports/pdf/report-24-2025.pdf
  25. DiNapoli: NYC’s Solid Housing Growth at Risk As Permits Fall - New York State Comptroller, accessed May 27, 2025, https://www.osc.ny.gov/press/releases/2025/03/dinapoli-nycs-solid-housing-growth-risk-permits-fall
  26. The End of 421-a: What Lenders Need to Know About NYC’s New Incentives | BBG, accessed May 27, 2025, https://bbgres.com/the-end-of-421-a-what-lenders-need-to-know-about-nyc-new-incentives/
  27. HPD Celebrates Early Successes in 485-x Program, One Year After Historic Housing Legislative Victo | City of New York - NYC.gov, accessed May 27, 2025, https://www.nyc.gov/site/hpd/news/032-25/hpd-celebrates-early-successes-485-x-program-one-year-after-historic-housing-legislative
  28. Critical Tax Incentives for NYC Residential Development in 2025 and Beyond: 485-x, 467-m, and 421-a | Rosenberg & Estis, P.C., accessed May 27, 2025, https://www.rosenbergestis.com/blog/2025/02/critical-tax-incentives-for-nyc-residential-development-in-2025-and-beyond-485-x-467-m-and-421-a/
  29. Is now a good time to invest in Manhattan, New York residential property? Castle Avenue, accessed May 27, 2025, https://www.castle-avenue.com/is-now-a-good-time-to-invest-in-manhattan-new-york-residential-property.html
  30. New York City Real Estate Market Overview & Forecast (2025 & 2026), accessed May 27, 2025, https://theluxuryplaybook.com/new-york-city-real-estate-market/
  31. Rent Stabilization - NYC.gov, accessed May 27, 2025, https://www.nyc.gov/site/mayorspeu/programs/rent-stabilization.page
  32. What You Need to Know About NYC Rent Stabilization Laws - Gary Wachtel, accessed May 27, 2025, https://garywachtel.com/what-you-need-to-know-about-nyc-rent-stabilization-laws/
  33. New Report: New York’s Unfair Property Tax System on its 50th Birthday, accessed May 27, 2025, https://www.cssny.org/news/entry/new-report-new-yorks-unfair-property-tax-system-on-its-50th-birthday
  34. Property Tax Reform - Office of the New York City Comptroller Brad …, accessed May 27, 2025, https://comptroller.nyc.gov/propertytaxreform/
  35. How Do Inclusionary Housing Zoning Laws Affect Real Estate Development in New York?, accessed May 27, 2025, https://rololaw.com/blog/how-do-inclusionary-housing-zoning-laws-affect-real-estate-development-in-new-york/
  36. The State of Job Quality in New York City - NYC Comptroller’s Office, accessed May 27, 2025, https://comptroller.nyc.gov/reports/the-state-of-job-quality-in-new-york-city/
  37. City of Yes for Housing Opportunity: Insights for Emerging Architects - Calendar AIA New York / Center for Architecture, accessed May 27, 2025, https://calendar.aiany.org/2025/04/22/city-of-yes-for-housing-opportunity-insights-for-emerging-architects/
  38. Mayor Adams Lays out Ambitious Agenda to Make New York City Best Place to Raise a Family in Fourth State of the City Address - NYC.gov, accessed May 27, 2025, https://www.nyc.gov/office-of-the-mayor/news/012-25/mayor-adams-lays-out-ambitious-agenda-make-new-york-city-best-place-raise-family-fourth
  39. Progress Report 2024 - Where We Live NYC 2025, accessed May 27, 2025, https://wherewelive.cityofnewyork.us/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/WWL-24-Progress-Report.pdf
  40. City of Successful Housing Reform: With Vote, New York City Takes First Step Toward Pro-Housing Zoning | Manhattan Institute, accessed May 27, 2025, https://manhattan.institute/article/city-of-successful-housing-reform-with-vote-nyc-takes-first-step-toward-pro-housing-zoning
  41. NY State Senate Bill 2025-S7925, accessed May 27, 2025, https://www.nysenate.gov/legislation/bills/2025/S7925
  42. New York governor signs budget legislation that includes various tax changes affecting businesses and individuals, accessed May 27, 2025, https://taxnews.ey.com/news/2025-1100-new-york-governor-signs-budget-legislation-that-includes-various-tax-changes-affecting-businesses-and-individuals
  43. New NYC legislation could bring back some short-term rentals. There’s plenty of opposition., accessed May 27, 2025, https://www.cbsnews.com/newyork/news/new-legislation-could-bring-airbnb-back-to-new-york-city/
  44. Affordable Housing - HRA - NYC.gov, accessed May 27, 2025, https://www.nyc.gov/site/hra/help/affordable-housing.page
  45. Affordable Housing · NYC311 - NYC.gov, accessed May 27, 2025, https://on.nyc.gov/AffordableHousing
  46. Addressing New York’s Housing Crisis - Andrew Cuomo, accessed May 27, 2025, https://www.andrewcuomo.com/sites/default/files/documents/housing-plan.pdf
  47. About Us - ANHD, accessed May 27, 2025, https://anhd.org/about/